Congresswoman and Democratic nominee for governor Mikie Sherrill holds a five point lead over former state assemblyman and Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli, 50% to 45%, according to a new Rutgers-Eagleton poll out Wednesday morning.
The five-point lead is within the margin of error.
Sherrill maintains her narrow lead in the tightening race for New Jersey governor. The last Rutgers-Eagleton poll put her up 44%-35% in August.
Darla Miles has the latest details.
"The contest has narrowed in its final weeks," said Ashley Koning, an assistant research professor and director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers University-New Brunswick.
Unaffiliated voters prefer Sherrill 49% to 40%. Women are 18 points more likely than men to say they would vote for Sherrill and 16 points less likely to vote for Ciattarelli.
"The outcome will ultimately hinge on each campaign's turnout operation. This is especially true in off-year elections, which are usually accompanied by comparatively smaller and less predictable electorates," Koning added.
President Trump looms large as the election approaches. 52% of voters say he is a "major factor" in their vote for governor, 14% say is a "minor" one and 34% say he isn't a factor at all.
Democrats are much more prone to say Trump is a "major factor" for them (78%) than Republicans (38%). 42% of Independent voters say Trump is a "major factor" for them, 20% a "minor" one and 38% not a factor at all.
Ciattarelli is trusted by more voters on crime and safety (49%-35%), taxes (44%-37%), the state economy and jobs (46%-40%), and the state budget (45%-39%); Sherrill is more trusted on health care (50%-35%) and education (47%-40%).
The two are almost exactly tied on affordability and infrastructure issues.
Both candidates now also have negative net approval ratings, likely the result of the millions of dollars that have been spent lambasting one another on TV; Sherrill is viewed favorably by 42% of voters and unfavorably by 45%, while Ciattarelli is slightly deeper underwater at 41%-47%.