How the Davante Adams trade impacts fantasy, betting
After a 2-4 start to the season and the firing of their head coach just a week ago, the New York Jets made a big move, trading for wide receiver Davante Adams from the Las Vegas Raiders for a conditional third-round pick. The acquisition of Adams reunites the receiver with a familiar face in Aaron Rodgers from their time together on the Green Bay Packers.
The Jets, who had been connected to Adams since the star requested a trade from the Raiders weeks ago, could be looking for the dynamic duo of Adams and Rodgers to spark an offense and team that has had its fair share of issues through six games.
How will this trade affect fantasy teams? What should you do if you have Adams, Rodgers or any of the other Jets players? Does the addition of Adams have betting implications? Eric Karabell and Doug Greenberg dive into the ramifications of the trade from both a fantasy and betting perspective.
Fantasy reaction: Temper expectations for Adams-Rodgers duo
Eric Karabell: Acquiring Adams is good for the Jets, I guess, but it is hard to see how this trade suddenly solves all the team's problems. Fantasy managers should think similarly. Rodgers was a top-5 fantasy QB in 2021 (and in eight seasons prior) but has not played well since then. Adding Adams can't hurt, but it presumes that Allen Lazard or Mike Williams were statistically holding Rodgers back. The Jets still boast two very relevant, young running backs, so don't expect them to ditch that part of the offense.
I moved Rodgers up several spots in my end-of-season rankings, but not into the top 15 at the deep QB position. He averages an ordinary 14.3 PPR fantasy points per game, 23rd among QBs. He is not going to suddenly average 20 PPG. Adams should fulfill the expected obligations of a WR2 option, but I consider teammate Garrett Wilson more valuable. While the Jets' offense is certainly betting today, these are not the same versions of Rodgers and Adams that played in Green Bay, so it is best to keep expectations well in check.
Mike Clay:The Jets' passing game received a big shake up on Tuesday when the team acquired Adams from the Raiders. It's possible Adams (hamstring) is out or limited in his Jets' debut this week, but the bottom line is this: Adams has a lengthy connection with Rodgers and he's a sure bet to handle a substantial target share in the 25-30% range. That, of course, means fewer targets for others, especially secondary options like Allen Lazard, Mike Williams and Tyler Conklin. None of those players figure to make for consistent fantasy options. Wilson is likely to see a slight dip, but especially after having just posted consecutive top 5 fantasy outings, he'll join Adams in the weekly WR1 mix. Aaron Rodgers' streaming value receives a boost, though his lack of rushing will continue to limit his ceiling. Hall's target share may see a slight dip, but not enough to knock him out of the RB1 mix. This offense has a very tough challenge against Pittsburgh here in Week 7, but Hall, Wilson and -- if he plays -- Adams should be in lineups.
Adams' departure locks Tre Tucker into a full-time role, but boom/bust production should be expected. He has two 15-plus fantasy point efforts this season, but four games with 5.0 or fewer points. Whereas a healthy Jakobi Meyers (nine-plus targets in three straight games) is a lineup lock in this matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, Tucker should only be considered for your flex if Meyers remains sidelined.
Betting reaction: Jets see slight odds movement after Adams trade
Doug Greenberg:It's been a tumultuous 12 hours or so for the Jets as far as betting odds go. Before "Monday Night Football," New York was +105 to make the playoffs, +1800 to win the AFC, and +3000 to win the Super Bowl at ESPN BET. After a close defeat to the Buffalo Bills, those odds dropped to +155, +2000 and +4000, respectively. Then, when the Jets traded for Adams, those odds improved back to +145 for the playoffs, +1800 for the conference and +3500 for the Super Bowl -- meaning the odds to win the AFC returned right back to where they started before MNF.
The Adams trade had a brief, but transient, effect on the upcoming Jets-Steelers game on Sunday night as well. NYJ opened as 1.5-point underdogs and got as long as +2.5 before flipping to -1. Then, immediately following the Adams news, the Jets made a quick jump to -1.5 before coming back down to -1. The total for the contest moved up from 36.5 to 37.5. If the spread holds, it would be the first time New York was favored against Pittsburgh since 2003, breaking an underdog streak of 11 straight matchups, according to ESPN Research. As for action, ESPN BET reports that since Tuesday morning, the Jets have taken 29% of bets and 44% of handle to win the Super Bowl. They are also the only team to take any wagers to win the AFC or AFC East on Tuesday morning.
