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SPORTS

NHL playoff standings: Can the Stars still win the Central?

ByTim Kavanagh ESPN logo

Monday, April 3, 2023

Throughout much of the 2022-23 regular season, the Dallas Stars had a healthy lead in the Central Division. But thanks to a bit of a tailspin coming out of the All-Star break and some inconsistency thereafter -- coupled with strong play by the Minnesota Wild and Colorado Avalanche -- they enter tonight's game against the Nashville Predators (8:30 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+) in third place (as the Avs have a game in hand).

Can they still take home the regular-season crown for the Central, and a date with a wild-card team in Round 1 of the playoffs?

When pondering the relative strengths of schedule for Western Conference powers back on March 23, we noted how well the Stars were set up for a run. That's still the case; of their six remaining contests, only one (this upcoming Saturday against the Vegas Golden Knights) is against a team in playoff position. For comparison, the Wild get the Knights tonight, the wild-card-contending Pittsburgh Penguins on Thursday and the Winnipeg Jets on April 11. The Avs still have games against the Los Angeles Kings, Edmonton Oilers and Jets on their slate.

Despite those schedule differences, Money Puck's projections give the edge to the Avalanche; Colorado has a 41.7% chance of winning the division, compared to 33.6% for Dallas and 24.7% for Minnesota.

Today's clinching scenarios

1. The Dallas Stars will clinch a playoff berth if they beat the Nashville Predators in any fashion.

2. The Minnesota Wild will secure a playoff spot if they defeat the Vegas Golden Knights in any fashion,or if they get one point against the Golden Knights and the Predators lose to the Stars in any fashion.

As we enter the final stretch of the regular season, it's time to check all the playoff races -- along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2023 NHL draft lottery.

Note: Playoff chances are via FiveThirtyEight.

Jump ahead:

Current playoff matchups

Today's games

Last night's scores

Expanded standings

Race for No. 1 pick

Current playoff matchups

Eastern Conference

A1 Boston Bruins vs. WC2 Pittsburgh Penguins

A2 Toronto Maple Leafs vs. A3 Tampa Bay Lightning

M1 Carolina Hurricanes vs. WC1 New York Islanders

M2 New Jersey Devils vs. M3 New York Rangers

Western Conference

C1 Minnesota Wild vs. WC1 Seattle Kraken

C2 Colorado Avalanche vs. C3 Dallas Stars

P1 Vegas Golden Knights vs. WC2 Winnipeg Jets

P2 Los Angeles Kings vs. P3 Edmonton Oilers

Monday's games

Note: All times Eastern. All games not on ESPN, TNT or NHL Network are available via NHL Power Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (local blackout restrictions apply).

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild, 8 p.m. (NHLN)

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars, 8:30 p.m.

Arizona Coyotes at Seattle Kraken, 10 p.m.

Sunday's scoreboard

Watch "In the Crease" on ESPN+ for highlights from every game.

New York Rangers 5, Washington Capitals 2

Boston Bruins 4, St. Louis Blues 3 (SO)

Carolina Hurricanes 2, New York Islanders 1

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Winnipeg Jets 6, New Jersey Devils 1

Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Calgary Flames 5, Anaheim Ducks 4

Los Angeles Kings 4, Vancouver Canucks 1

Expanded standings

Atlantic Division

p - Boston Bruins

Points: 125

Regulation wins: 50

Playoff position: A1

Games left: 5

Points pace: 133

Next game: vs. TOR (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

x - Toronto Maple Leafs

Points: 100

Regulation wins: 38

Playoff position: A2

Games left: 6

Points pace: 108

Next game: vs. CBJ (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

x - Tampa Bay Lightning

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 37

Playoff position: A3

Games left: 5

Points pace: 102

Next game: @ NYR (Wednesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Florida Panthers

Points: 85

Regulation wins: 33

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 91

Next game: vs. BUF (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 57%

Tragic number: 10

Buffalo Sabres

Points: 81

Regulation wins: 28

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 89

Next game: @ FLA (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 9%

Tragic number: 10

Ottawa Senators

Points: 80

Regulation wins: 29

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 85

Next game: @ CAR (Tuesday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 5

Detroit Red Wings

Points: 77

Regulation wins: 27

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 83

Next game: @ MTL (Tuesday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 4

e - Montreal Canadiens

Points: 66

Regulation wins: 20

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 70

Next game: vs. DET (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

Metropolitan Division

x - Carolina Hurricanes

Points: 107

Regulation wins: 37

Playoff position: M1

Games left: 6

Points pace: 116

Next game: vs. OTT (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

x - New Jersey Devils

Points: 104

Regulation wins: 36

Playoff position: M2

Games left: 5

Points pace: 111

Next game: vs. PIT (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

x - New York Rangers

Points: 101

Regulation wins: 35

Playoff position: M3

Games left: 5

Points pace: 108

Next game: vs. TB (Wednesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

New York Islanders

Points: 87

Regulation wins: 33

Playoff position: WC1

Games left: 4

Points pace: 92

Next game: vs. TB (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 73%

Tragic number: N/A

Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 86

Regulation wins: 29

Playoff position: WC2

Games left: 5

Points pace: 92

Next game: @ NJ (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 62%

Tragic number: N/A

Washington Capitals

Points: 77

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 82

Next game: @ MTL (Thursday)

Playoff chances:<1%

Tragic number: 2

e - Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 71

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 77

Next game: @ STL (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

e - Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 56

Regulation wins: 15

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 60

Next game: @ TOR (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

Central Division

Minnesota Wild

Points: 97

Regulation wins: 32

Playoff position: C1

Games left: 6

Points pace: 105

Next game: vs. VGK (Monday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Colorado Avalanche

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 32

Playoff position: C2

Games left: 7

Points pace: 105

Next game: @ SJ (Tuesday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Dallas Stars

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 34

Playoff position: C3

Games left: 6

Points pace: 104

Next game: vs. NSH (Monday)

Playoff chances:>99%

Tragic number: N/A

Winnipeg Jets

Points: 89

Regulation wins: 33

Playoff position: WC2

Games left: 5

Points pace: 95

Next game: vs. CGY (Wednesday)

Playoff chances: 67%

Tragic number: N/A

Nashville Predators

Points: 84

Regulation wins: 28

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 92

Next game: @ DAL (Monday)

Playoff chances: 9%

Tragic number: 10

e - St. Louis Blues

Points: 77

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 82

Next game: vs. PHI (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

e - Arizona Coyotes

Points: 67

Regulation wins: 20

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 71

Next game: @ SEA (Monday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

e - Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 54

Regulation wins: 16

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 58

Next game: @ CGY (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

Pacific Division

x - Vegas Golden Knights

Points: 101

Regulation wins: 35

Playoff position: P1

Games left: 6

Points pace: 109

Next game: @ MIN (Monday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

x - Los Angeles Kings

Points: 100

Regulation wins: 35

Playoff position: P2

Games left: 5

Points pace: 107

Next game: vs. EDM (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

x - Edmonton Oilers

Points: 99

Regulation wins: 41

Playoff position: P3

Games left: 5

Points pace: 105

Next game: @ LA (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Seattle Kraken

Points: 90

Regulation wins: 32

Playoff position: WC1

Games left: 7

Points pace: 98

Next game: vs. ARI (Monday)

Playoff chances: 97%

Tragic number: N/A

Calgary Flames

Points: 87

Regulation wins: 29

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 93

Next game: vs. CHI (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 27%

Tragic number: 9

e - Vancouver Canucks

Points: 75

Regulation wins: 22

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 81

Next game: vs. SEA (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

e - San Jose Sharks

Points: 59

Regulation wins: 16

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 64

Next game: vs. COL (Tuesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

e - Anaheim Ducks

Points: 56

Regulation wins: 13

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 5

Points pace: 60

Next game: vs. EDM (Wednesday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

P -- Clinched Presidents' Trophy; Y -- Clinched division; X -- Clinched playoff berth; E -- Eliminated from playoff contention

Race for the No. 1 pick

The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team can move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer is Connor Bedard, who has been lauded as a generational talent.