Betting tips for 'Sunday Night Football': Jets at Steelers

Week 7 's Sunday slate concludes with a primetime matchup featuring Aaron Rodgers, new acquisition Davante Adams and the New York Jets traveling to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers on "Sunday Night Football." The Steelers, who will be starting Russell Wilson for the first time this season, entering Sunday's game with a 4-2 record and in second place in the AFC North (+425), while the Jets are coming off their third straight loss at 2-4 but after trading for Adams on Tuesday have seen their Super Bowl odds increase (currently 30-1).

Here is everything you need to know to bet on the AFC primetime matchup and Ben Solak offers his favorite pick for Sunday night as well.

Game lines

Spread:Jets -2

Money line: Jets (-130), Steelers (+110)

Over/Under: 39.5

First-half spread: Jets -0.5 (Even), Steelers +0.5 (-130)

First-half moneyline: Jets (-135), Steelers (+105)

Jets total points: O/U 19.5 points (Over -130/Under Even)

Steelers total points:O/U 19.5 points (Over -115/Under -115)

The props

Passing

Aaron Rodgers total passing yards:224.5 yards (Over -110/Under -120)

Rodgers total passing TDs:1.5 (Over +110/Under -140)

Russell Wilson total passing yards:174.5 (Over -115/Under -115)

Wilson total passing TDs:0.5 (Over -210/Under +160)

Rushing

Breece Hall total rushing yards:59.5 (Over -135/Under +105)

Najee Harris total rushing yards:59.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Jaylen Warren total rushing yards:19.5 (Over -140/Under +110)

Receiving

George Pickens total receiving yards:59.5(Over -TBD/Under -TBD)

Davante Adams total receiving yards:59.5 (Over -TBD/Under -TBD)

Garrett Wilson total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)

Pat Freiermuth total receiving yards:34.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Allen Lazard total receiving yards:29.5 (Over -110/Under -120)

Hall total receiving yards: 29.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Tyler Conklin total receiving yards:19.5 (Over -105/Under -125)

Warrentotal receiving yards: 14.5(Over -125/Under -105)

Najee Harris total receiving yards: 14.5(Over -115/Under -115)

Ben Solak's pick

Jets -2 at Steelers

While the Jets still lost to the Buffalo Bills on Monday night, their offense did show signs of improvement in the first game under new play caller Todd Downing and new head coach Jeff Ulbrich. Now, Davante Adams comes to town, and I think the success will continue even against a stingy Steelers pass rush. Expect Rodgers to get rid of the ball very quickly, with short routes and running back targets comprising the bulk of his targets to help neutralize that rush. The Jets are desperate for a win and the Steelers are making a QB switch with Russell Wilson. Gotta lean Jets here.

Betting trends

Courtesy ESPN Research

• Unders are 32-10 on Sunday Night Football since 2022, including 6-0 this season. All prime-time unders are 81-52-1 in that span.
• The Jets have been underdogs in 11 straight meetings against the Steelers including playoffs. The last time the Jets were favored over the Steelers was in 2003 (won 6-0 as 3-point favorites). The Jets have played 12 games at Pittsburgh including playoffs and only been favored once (1992: lost 27-10 as 1.5-point favorites).
• If the Jets close as favorites, it would be the first time since 2020 that a team multiple games below .500 has been a road favorite over a team multiple games above .500 (Chargers -6.5 at Chiefs in Week 17). Excluding the final week of the season, the only time in the last decade a team multiple games below .500 has been a road favorite over a team multiple games above .500 was in 2016 (Chargers -2.5 at Texans, Chargers won 21-13).
• If the Jets close as underdogs, the Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. Since 2016, the Jets are 18-38-1 ATS as road underdogs and 23-44-1 ATS in all road games.
• The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine prime-time games (0-2 ATS in last two). The Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 prime-time games.
• Unders are 13-2 in the last 15 regular-season meetings.
• The Jets are 0-3 ATS in their last three games. Four of the last five Jets games have gone under the total.

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