Judge vs. Ohtani might join other close MVP races

ByESPN.com ESPN logo
Friday, November 18, 2022

Los Angeles Angels pitcher/DH Shohei Ohtani had a 2.33 ERA and an .875 OPS in 2022. New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge led the league in OPS, runs, RBIs and set the American League home run record with 62. In any other year, either would be the obvious choice for AL Most Valuable Player -- but they happened to have put up those numbers in the same season. While Judge is the odds-on favorite to win, would anyone really object if the vote was close -- or even if it were tied?

It wouldn't be the first time something like this would have happened. Close MVP races -- or even ties -- are rare, but they're not unprecedented. Here are some races from the past 30 years where the voters just couldn't quite decide on a clear favorite.


2017: Giancarlo Stanton beats Joey Votto by two votes

In his final year with the Miami Marlins, Stanton mashed 59 home runs, led the league in RBIs with 131 and OPS+ with 169. Votto, stalwart as ever with the Cincinnati Reds, led in overall OPS (1.032), OBP (.454) and walks (134). Their performances at the plate were so outrageously good that voters didn't mind much that neither the Marlins nor the Reds made the playoffs. It was the closest race in MLB since 1979, when Willie Stargell and Keith Hernandez tied for NL MVP.


2004-05: Steve Nash beats Shaquille O'Neal by 2.6% voting share

This season was the first of three consecutive MVP seasons where Nash, playing for the Phoenix Suns, would lead the league in assists per game, this time with 11.5. O'Neal, in his first year with the Miami Heat, put up a pretty typical Shaq statline -- 22.9 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 2.3 BPG. Both teams finished first in their respective divisions and made deep playoff runs, but the Suns fell to the San Antonio Spurs and the Heat lost to the Detroit Pistons in their conference finals.


2013: Candace Parker beats Maya Moore by 16 points

This one was a three-way race, with the Los Angeles Sparks' Parker (17.9 PPG, 8.7 RPG) beating out both the Minnesota Lynx's Moore (18.5 PPG, 6.2 RPG) and rookie Elena Delle Donne (18.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG), who had seven first-place votes in her rookie season with the Chicago Sky.

2005: Sheryl Swoopes beats Lauren Jackson by two points

The Seattle Storm's Jackson (17.6 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 2.0 BPG) actually had more first-place votes than the Houston Comets' Swoopes (18.6 PPG, 4.3 APG, 2.0 SPG), but Swoopes beat her out in total points. If Jackson had received one more fourth-place vote instead of a fifth-place one, the two would have had equal point totals.


2003: Peyton Manning and Steve McNair tie

Manning shared his first of five MVP awards with Steve McNair. McNair, playing for the Tennessee Titans, threw for 3,215 yards, 24 touchdown passes and 6 interceptions, adding another four scores on the ground. Manning, playing for the Indianapolis Colts, led the NFL in passing yards with 4,267, throwing 29 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions. Both quarterbacks would lose in the playoffs that year to the third-place finisher: then-New England Patriots signal-caller Tom Brady.

2002: Rich Gannon beats Brett Favre by four votes

Gannon, playing for the then-Oakland Raiders, had by far the best season of his career, throwing for 4,689 yards, 26 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and leading his team to the Super Bowl. Favre was in full high-risk, high-reward mode, leading the league in TD passes with 32 but also throwing 21 INTs.

2001: Kurt Warner beats Marshall Faulk by four votes

A bit of an awkward race considering Warner and Faulk were teammates on the then-St. Louis Rams. Both were key reasons why the Rams made it to their second Super Bowl in three years -- Warner threw for 4,830 yards, 36 touchdowns and 22 interceptions, while Faulk was an incredible dual threat, rushing for 1,382 yards and 12 scores and putting up 765 yards receiving and 9 receiving touchdowns.

1997: Brett Favre and Barry Sanders tie

Favre, in the last of three consecutive MVP seasons, led the Green Bay Packers to a Super Bowl appearance in 1997, throwing for 3,867 yards, 35 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. Sanders, on the other hand, put the Detroit Lions on his back, rushing for an astounding 2,053 yards,11 scores and adding three more receiving touchdowns. The Lions lost in the wild-card round, and Sanders would play one more year before retiring.


2012-13: Alex Ovechkin beats Sidney Crosby by 1.8 percent

The lockout-shortened 2012-13 season saw Ovechkin and Crosby each putting up 56 points. Ovechkin's league-leading 32 goals, however, might have been the deciding factor in his narrow win.

2001-02: Jose Theodore beats Jarome Iginla by first-place votes

Theodore and Iginla actually had the same number of votes for the Hart Memorial Trophy. Theodore, who led the league with a .931 save percentage, ended up beating Iginla, who led the league in goals (52) and points (96) due to receiving three more first-place votes.

1999-2000: Chris Pronger beats Jaromir Jagr by one point

Jagr led the league in points with 96 (ironically, his lowest point total from 1997-2001) but Pronger's league-leading 52 plus/minus was a factor in making him the first defenseman to win the Hart since Bobby Orr in 1972. Pronger is also the last defenseman to win the award.

College football

2009: Mark Ingram beats Toby Gerhart by 28 votes

Nobody could stop Mark Ingram (1,658 yards rushing, 17 touchdowns) or the champion Alabama Crimson Tide in 2009, but Stanford Cardinal running back Toby Gerhart (1,871 yards rushing, 28 touchdowns) gave it a go in the Heisman Trophy voting. Ingram's win is the smallest margin of victory by a Heisman Trophy winner ever.

Research from ESPN Stats and Information was used in this article.